Pennsylvania:
# of Registered Democrats have decreased by 143,067
# of Registered Republicans have increased by 141,346
# of Registered NPA/Others have increased by 121,113
Gap between D's and R's has decreased from 632,202 to 347,789
# of Registered Republicans increased their gap and outnumber Registered Democrats by 259,270
# of Registered Democrats have decreased by 182,628
# of Registered Republicans have decreased by 53,812
# of Registered NPA/Others increased by 64,558
Total # of Voter Registrations decreased by 171,882
# of Registered Democrats decreased by 104,603
# of Registered Republicans decreased by 37,103
# of Registered NPA/Others increased by 220,925
Gap between D's over R's decreased from 86,733 to 19,223
795,148 Registered NPA/Others is the largest category of voters compared to 584,422 D's and 565,188 R's
# of Registered Democrats decreased by 28,335
# of Registered Republicans decreased by 2,394
# of Registered NPA/Others increased by 26,343
Gap between D's over R's decreased from 185,848 to 159,907
# of Registered Democrats decreased by 89,845
# of Registered Republicans decreased by 32,216
# of Registered NPA/Others decreased by 106,653
R's now outnumber D's by 42,966 (previously D's outnumbered R's by 14,663)
331,586 Registered NPA/Others is the largest voting category compared to 257,983 D's and 300,949 R's
Total # of Registered Voters decreased by 228,714
# of Registered Democrats decreased by 64,017
# of Registered Republicans decreased by 38,344
# of Registered NPA/Others decreased by 87,143
Gap between D's over R's decreased from 83,152 to 57,479
Total # of Voter Registrations decreased by 184,203
# of Registered Democrats decreased by 210,429
# of Registered Republicans increased by 36,896
# of Registered NPA/Others increased by 425,342
Gap between D's over R's decreased by from 373,622 to 126,297
2,882,110 Registered NPA/Others is the largest category of voters compared to 2,409733 D's and 2,283436 R's
There is a definite trend to voting registration in these states. Since 2020, Republicans have been closing the registration gap with Democrats.
In Nevada, New Hampshire and North Carolina there are more registered NPA/Others than either registered Democrats or registered Republicans. Nevada is now almost a 50/50 split between registered Democrats and registered Republicans.
In Clark County, Nevada registered Democrats have decreased by 82K, registered Republicans have decreased 25K and NPA's, now the largest voting category there, have increased by 100K.
The States of GA, WI, PA, MI, MN, and VA do not register voters by party affiliation so there is no party information available on their websites.
As I posted here last year, there are multiple Electoral College paths for Trump to win in November. Keeping the states Trump won in 2020, he can win any combination of three of the 5 states of GA, AZ, PA, WI and MI to hit 270.With all the Democrats mail ballot harvesting, ZuckBucks targeting Democrat voters and other questionable activities in 2020, below are Biden's percentage/vote margins for each aforementioned State.
- PA - 1.2% (81,660 vote margin)
- WI - 6/10 of a percent (20,682 vote margin)
- MI - 2.8% (154,188 vote margin)
- GA - 26/100 of a percent (12,670 vote margin and 1.2% or 62,138 votes went to a Libertarian candidate)
- AZ - 4/10 of a percent (10,457 votes)
With Nevada in the running for Trump, could New Mexico and New Hampshire be competitive? It appears Trump may have a broader path to 270 than just those five states.
New Mexico is an oil producing and energy producing state. That income helped New Mexico generate a $3.5 Billion surplus last year. New Mexico voters know Kamala's views for years opposing fossil fuel production. Will that impact voting there?
In the states of PA, AZ, NV, NM, ME, NH and NC, Democrats have lost 822,924 registered voters since 2020. Republicans have lost 163,869 registered voters and registered NPA/Others have increased by 858,281.
According to this Newsweek article last month: "Voter registration among Republicans is four times higher than it is among Democrats in Pennsylvania".
Newsweek also points out: "Democrats losing 3.5 million registered voters nationally, while the Republicans have gained 141,000 registered voters" and "in 28 of the 30 states that require voters to register with a party, Republicans have net more voter registrations than Democrats (Colorado and California withstanding), picking up more than 225,000 registrations in the first 21 days of July."
Why have Democrats lost so many more voters compared to Republicans? Why have NPA/Others increased so much?
It appears Kamala's path to 270 is slimmer than Trump's with PA being the bell weather state she must win. However, PA is trending more Republican as R's have cut the gap between D's and R's almost in half since 2020.
In PA's largest Democrat counties of Philadelphia, Allegheny and Montgomery, Democrats lost 95,532 registered voters compared to Republicans losing 13,728 and NPA/Others gaining 32,154. Will Kamala choosing Tim Walz over PA Governor Josh Shapiro as her VP impact PA voters?
The so-called "experts" and polling agencies are looking at these voter registration changes in key states. But does anyone actually understand what these changes mean? Is the polling under polling or over polling? Who knows?
The voter registration changes could indicate this election is more than simply about Democrat vs Republican. This election may be more about rejecting the policy failures of the last four years of the Biden-Harris regime - and yes that includes Kamala - than party affiliation.
This election may be more about returning to policies that proved to bring economic prosperity, security at our borders and peace through strength not wars through weakness.
Voter registration changes nationwide and in key states does not bode well for Kamala or the Democrat party. The changes are showing voter sentiment.
The economy and border crisis/immigration remain top voter issues in 2024.
The latest RCP polling reflects only 28.4 % of those polled think the country is heading in the right direction. What does that actually mean since Kamala has been Biden's WH sidekick for the last four years?
Kamala is directly tied to both the disastrous Bidenomics that caused skyrocketing food and energy prices and the border invasion she did nothing to stop. Kamala provided the tie breaking vote in the Senate for the Democrats "Green New Deal" spending bill that caused the highest inflation in forty years.
Will voters be impacted by the massive numbers of illegal immigrants coming into their cities destroying the budgets of local municipalities and school districts and causing havoc to local residents?
With two assassination attempts on Trump, will voters decide to hold Democrats and Kamala responsible for their constant rhetoric demonizing Trump and his supporters over the last eight years?
Are voters fed up with Democrats demonizing half the country and castigating anyone who believes in an America First agenda and a simple slogan "Make America Great Again"?
Ironically, Gwen Walz, VP nominee Tim Walz's wife, recently shouted for voters to "turn the page" .... as if Kamala is not the incumbent candidate.
But if the voter registration changes in key states indicate voters see the path to prosperity, peace, safety and security again is rejecting the failed status quo, voters will "turn the page" on Kamala and Trump will win on November 5th.
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